Both good news and bad news emerge for Alliance leader Day in the National Post/COMPAS poll on his future. The bad news is that, among Canadians with an opinion on whether he should resign, those who favour his resignation outnumber more than 2:1 those who oppose his resignation, as evidenced in table 1 below. Furthermore, by an almost 2:1 margin, those favouring an immediate leadership vote outnumber those who want such a vote to follow the party’s normal schedule and be held next year, as evidenced in table 2.

For Day, the good news is above all that his supporters outnumber his detractors even if the Alliance share of the electorate is approximately half of what it was during the recent federal election. Among Alliance voters, 46% say that he should not resign vs. 32% calling for his resignation and 22% with no opinion. Among Alliance voters with a strong opinion one way or another, Day does especially well (22% definitely stay on vs. 11% definitely resign) although the sub-samples are too small to be entirely reliable.

Among Alliance voters, those favouring an early leadership review nominally outnumber those who are opposed. Interpreting attitudes towards a leadership review is fraught with challenges because some of his supporters might well favour an early review to give him a possibility of conquering his opponents early before they could do him or his party more damage.

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